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Overview
With the
inception of Zacks Investment Research in 1978,
Zacks history databases were born. All data is
collected and maintained directly by us.
Providing timely current equity investment
information to investors is an ongoing process.
Zacks' databases incorporate critical
fundamental data including earnings estimates,
stock recommendations, and earnings surprises.
New increments of Zacks history are added each
day, as we collect, monitor and maintain the
North American equity research data.
Designed and used by Zacks' own quantitative
analysts, Zacks history databases have several
characteristics which may make it better suited
for use in applications or situations where
consistency of definition and preciseness of
dating are relevant considerations.
Consistent
Definition of EPS
Zacks EPS
estimates and actuals have been and continue to
be maintained in conformance with a
proprietary
definition of operating earnings per share
before extraordinary and non-recurring
items.
Comparison between Zacks estimates and Zacks
actuals is a comparison between
definitionally-comparable numbers.
Accurate
Analyst Dating
Zacks EPS
estimates and recommendations have, since the
firm's inception, been maintained per an active
(rather than passive) observational basis.
Accordingly, estimates and recommendations are
and have been associated with an analyst action
date: the date on which the analyst actually
published or changed his or her estimate or
recommendation.
The major difference between Zacks' history and
history maintained solely via passive sampling,
is that the Zacks history will show analyst
changes as of the date that they actually were
made, rather than the date corresponding to the
next sampling date (which could be as much as a
month later).
Quantitative models built using Zacks accurate
analyst dating are more likely to deliver excess
returns than models built using history based on
passive sampling. Zacks is the only research
vendor that provides historical data with
accurate analyst dating, going back for more
than fifteen years.
Constant
Company Identifier
Zacks company
identification is maintained via a unique Zacks
Company Identification Code, which remains
constant through the life of the stock issue:
through name changes, ticker changes, even CUSIP
changes. History for non-survivor companies is
available, maintained comparably with survivor
history. And all per share data is consistently
and cumulatively adjusted for all splits which
have occurred since 1978.
Estimates
by Issue/Fiscal Periods
With respect
to presentation of history, the main orientation
perspective of Zacks history is the company (or,
more precisely, the common stock issue: Zacks
maintains multiple sets of data for certain
companies with more than one issue of common for
which estimates exist) and the broker. For any
company, estimates are originally stored
according to their specific fiscal period
reference (e.g., the fiscal quarter ending March
1999, or the fiscal year ending December 1999;
'long-term growth rate' estimates are
representationally categorized as a separate
fiscal period reference, although they do not,
strictly speaking, refer to any fiscal period,
specific or otherwise). Within a given
referenced fiscal period or periods, a company's
estimates can be subdivided according to the
broker who issued the estimate, and, within each
broker subgroup, can be ordered by the date on
which the broker issued or changed the estimate
for that specific fiscal period for that
company.
Time
Series Data - For Each Analyst
Accordingly,
for any given combination of company and broker,
estimate history can be understood as a group of
time series, each one depicting the event
history of the broker's estimate for a different
fiscal period for which the company would
ultimately report earnings. The aggregate of all
such series is Zacks Individual Analyst Estimate
History.
Similarly, for any given combination of company
and broker, recommendation history can be
understood as a group of time series, each one
depicting the event history of changes to the
broker's recommendation for the company's stock.
The aggregate of all such series is Zacks
Individual Analyst Recommendation History.
Consensus
Statistics
Within a given
referenced fiscal period or periods, a company's
estimates from all brokers can be aggregated,
and statistical time series generated. For
presentational purposes, generic fiscal period
identifiers (e.g., the most-recently completed
quarter, 'Q0'; the current fiscal quarter, 'Q1',
or the current fiscal year, 'F1') are utilized
to enable standardized data formatting for
diverse companies, and to provide a continuous
presentational basis over time. The sum of all
such continuous time series (whether monthly or
weekly) for all companies is Zacks
Consensus
Estimate History.
Consistent
EPS Surprises
The notion of
Earnings Surprise (i.e., comparison between
earnings estimates and the actual EPS) involves
recourse to the Consensus EPS estimate, as a
comparative measure of consensus opinion. In
order to provide a meaningful basis for
historical examination of EPS Surprises, Zacks
Investment Research has maintained a separate
database dedicated to the accurate
representation of both actual EPS and consensus
EPS numbers, specifically designed with respect
to EPS surprise. Accordingly, Zacks Surprise
History maintains the consensus estimate for the
reported quarter as of the report date, and
maintains the originally-reported value of the
actual, prior to any restatements. Company
identification is consistent over time, and
non-survivor companies are, of course, included.
And, most importantly, both the consensus and
the actuals are comparably maintained in
conformance with Zacks' definition of operating
EPS before extraordinary and nonrecurring
items.
Corporate
Action History
In order to
maintain Zacks History, both with respect to
consistent company identification over time, and
also with respect to cumulative split-adjustment
of data, Zacks Investment Research has also
maintained event histories of its maintenance
actions with respect to splits and corporate
events; representing actions taken by Zacks with
respect to maintenance of Zacks historical data.
These data are available as Zacks Split History
and Zacks Corporate Event History.
Data
Maintenance
Zacks
Investment Research continues to update and
maintain its databases on a daily basis,
reflecting each day's addition of new estimates,
recommendations, and surprises; plus corrections
to previously-entered data (the result of Zacks'
long-standing and rigorous quality control
process); and also application of splits and
corporate event maintenance. Accordingly, as
Zacks history continues to accumulate each day,
Zacks can provide incremental or replacement
updates to any of Zacks Historical Databases;
thus enabling its clients to maintain
continuously current representations of history,
current to the most recent day. (Updates are
also available on weekly, monthly, quarterly, or
annual schedules).
Available
Historical Data Sets
Fundamental
Data
- Annual Fundamental Data database
has a universe of over 6,600 active companies and covers 12
years of annual income statement and balance sheet items and
5 years of cash flow items;10-K data.*
- Quarterly Fundamental Data
database has a universe of over 6,600 active companies and covers
6 years (24 Quarters) of quarterly income statement and balance
sheet items;10-Q data.*
Active
Companies Historical Data
- Active Companies Historical
Data database has a universe of over 6,700 active companies
with 144 months of monthly history for price, volume, growth
rates, consensus estimates and estimate revisions, surprises,
actual EPS, broker and Zacks ratings and ratio items.*
- Daily Prices database has a
universe of over 7,800 active companies with the 560 days of
daily price and volume data.*
- Weekly Prices database has
a universe of over 7,800 active companies with the 625 weeks
of weekly price and volume data.*
Economic
and Exchange Rates Data
- Historical
Economic Indicators database has 12-15 years
monthly history for various economic data,
including: 144 months of data for Treasury
Bonds, corporate bonds, municipal bonds and FHA
mortgages, 144 months for Prime Rate, Treasury
Bill discount, and Federal Funds, 181 months
covering indicators and indices such as Consumer
Credit, Personal Income, Housing Starts, Capital
Utilization, Unemployment Rates, CPI, GRP, GNP
and PPI; 181 months money supply data (M1, M2,
M3).*
- Historical
Currency Exchange Rates database has 144 months
of foreign exchange rates for over 50 major
currencies.*
Active and
Research Companies Data (Backtesting
Databases)
- Zacks Primary
Backtesting database has a universe of over
8,000 companies (roughly 4,000 active and 4,000
research companies) with 15 years of price,
volume, growth rates, consensus estimates and
estimate revisions, surprises, actual EPS,
broker and Zacks ratings and ratio items as well
as fundamental items. This database ticker set
includes members of the S&P 1500 plus
domestic stocks that have had a market
capitalization of over $100 million or have been
in the top 1000 stocks by market capitalization
in any time of the last 20 years.
*
- Zacks Secondary Backtesting
database has a universe of over 4,000 different companies (roughly
2,000 active and 2,000 research companies) with 15 years of
price, volume, growth rates, consensus estimates and estimate
revisions, surprises, actual EPS, broker and Zacks ratings and
ratio items as well as fundamental items. This database ticker
set includes ADR's. REIT's, closed end investment companies,
and secondary class of common stock plus stocks with smaller
market capitalization.*
*
Requires Zacks software.
Available
Historical Data Files
Consensus
Estimate History Files
For approximately 7,400 survivor companies and
2,800 non-survivor companies, weekly or monthly
history file provides a series of records
showing week-end or month-end status starting in
1978 through the closing date of the file.
Fiscal year
estimate statistics include mean estimate,
standard deviation, number of estimates for
last, current and next fiscal years (monthly
files also include number of brokers raising and
lowering estimates). Fiscal quarter
estimate statistics include mean estimate,
standard deviation, number of estimates for
last, current, and next fiscal quarter (monthly
file also includes number of broker raising and
lowering estimate). Long-term growth estimate
statistics show status of the mean estimate,
standard deviation, and number of estimates for
annualized long-term earnings percentage growth
rate (monthly file also includes number of
brokers raising and lowering estimates).
Monthly files
also include average broker recommendations and
number of broker increasing and decreasing
recommendations.
Consensus
Recommendation History
Recommendations history files are available on
monthly (from 1985) or daily (from 1992) basis.
Data includes number of analysts with ratings,
average recommendation, number of analysts with
strong buy, buy, hold, sell, strong sell and no
rating, and observation date.
EPS
Surprise History
Surprise is a comparison between
originally-reported EPS and estimate for the
quarter. Depending on client's particular needs,
several types of Surprise history files are
available. Files include quarter end and report
dates, actual EPS, EPS Estimate, and EPS
Surprise (in %).
Individual
Analyst Estimate History
**
Event--oriented monitoring of individual analyst
estimate coverage for fiscal years, fiscal
quarters, and long-term growth from 8,000
analysts at more than 280 brokerage firms. More
than 5 million records for over 10,000 survivor
and non-survivor companies since 1978. Updates
available on daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly,
or annual frequencies.
Individual
Analyst Recommendation History
**
Even-oriented monitoring of recommendations from
8,000 analysts at more than 280 brokerage firms.
More than 250,00 records for over 7,000 survivor
and non-survivor companies since 1984. Updates
available on daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly,
or annual frequencies.
Daily Price
and Volume History
File contains daily prices and
volume.
Full Daily
Price History
File contains daily High, Low, Close and Volume
data.
Corporate
Events History
A comprehensive historical record of corporate
events such as change of company's fiscal year
end month, change of company name, change of
company's ticker symbol, stock split poor stock
dividend, change of company's CUSIP
symbol.
Zacks II:
Estimate Statistics
Available data includes: company information
(CUSIP, ticker, name); current and next fiscal
year estimate statistics (mean, median, standard
deviation, high estimate, low estimate, number
of estimates, number of upward revisions during
period); last, current, and two upcoming fiscal
quarter estimates statistics (mean, median,
standard deviation, high estimate, low estimate,
number of estimates, number of upward revisions
during period); actual EPS for the
two-most-recently-reported quarters, plus
12-month and reported fiscal year EPS are also
provided;ratings are represented by the average
analyst rating and number of current
recommendations .
Additional
Data Files (some available in HTML
format)
- History
files: each file provides ten years of history
for a single data item. Observation frequencies:
annual, quarterly, or monthly.
- Fundamental
History files with standardized five categories
of information (annual & quarterly income
statement, annual & quarterly balance sheet;
annual cash flow statement). Up to eleven years
of annual income statement & balance sheet
info; up to five years of quarterly income
statement & balance sheet; up to five years
of annual cash flow statements. Also available
in HTML format.
**
Access to Zacks Individual Analyst Estimates and
Recommendations is subject to approval of
individual contributing brokers.
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